12 leading world experts predicted what will happen after the coronavirus on the world stage. And this, according to them, is the overthrow of the United States from a leadership position, the transition to China-centrism and the departure of small countries to self-isolation.
12 world experts predicted what the world would look like after coronavirus
Professor Stephen Walt
Harvard professor Stephen Walt believes that after quarantine quits, the transfer of power from West to East will accelerate. Singapore and Japan reacted quickly and correctly to the pandemic, China was a little late. As for the United States and Europe, the response against coronavirus was slow, which does not play in their favor. The conflicting nature of world politics will also continue to persist. No crisis and disease brought countries closer together; after the coronavirus, they too will not become more united.
Director of the Royal Institute for International Affairs believes China’s growing power has convinced the United States to limit access to modern technology. With the advent of coronavirus, countries realized that they should be prepared for long-term self-isolation. Therefore, soon, we are unlikely to return to mutually beneficial globalization.
Honored Researcher at the National University of Singapore, told Foreign Policy in an interview that the main changes will affect the global economy. The Americans have already lost faith in globalization and international trade, which cannot be said of China. Therefore, coronavirus will only accelerate the already emerging tendency to move away from American-centered globalization towards China-centrism.
Princeton professor John Ikenberry considers the most likely transition to cooperation and discussion of the strategy. In his opinion, after quarantine, movements towards nationalism and great-power rivalry are inevitable.
A former national security adviser to the Indian Prime Minister, speaks of a closed world. In his opinion, everyone was convinced that they were dependent on each other, and everyone was trying to overcome the crisis on their own.
A senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says the many economic chains in the supply of goods will be replaced by shorter ones, but in isolation, more effective.
Harvard professor Joseph Nye talks about a new US strategy. Before the pandemic, Trump announced a new national security strategy with emphasis on great-power rivalry. However, under current conditions, it turned out to be untenable.
The president of the Brookings Institution and the retired general of the United Nations Medical Commission believes that coronavirus will become another cause of rivalry between countries. Moreover, those who will come out of the crisis with dignity and proclaim themselves winners on the world stage. And for some, it will be a victory for authoritarian rule, for others a democracy. Most likely, this will lead to conflicts between and within countries.
Pulitzer Prize winner, speaks boldly of impending changes in the economy. Previously, large companies delivered goods directly to the customer, without wasting money on storage facilities. However, the pandemic put everything in its place. After major financial losses, suppliers will most likely look closer to themselves so that no disasters disrupt production.
President of the Council on Foreign Relations, argues that many countries are self-insulating to establish internal processes and to feel their viability and self-sufficiency. The crisis, of course, will worsen Sino-US relations.
According to Corey Sheik, deputy director of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, the United States will cease to be a leader.
a former U.S. Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs, concluded that despite the rivalry between the U.S. and China, which continue to blame each other for the causes of the crisis, ordinary people such as nurses, doctors, and ordinary citizens show the enviable strength of the human spirit.